Wednesday, 11 November 2026
Data Speaks, Goals Follow
“We publish the call before kickoff, and we publish the miss just as loudly.”
54% hit rate across 2415 logged predictions
TODAY'S MATCH
19:45 UTC · Thu · 🏆 UEFA Nations League
San Marino
vs
Belarus
“Belarus comes back from behind 50% of the time.”
Likely scores
IN THIS EDITION
Every dataset Goalence publishes, indexed in one place.
World Cup 2026 Forecast
Top contenders after the latest round, from our Monte Carlo model.
Updated: 2026-06-04
DISCOVER
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Premier League
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La Liga
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Bundesliga
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Serie A
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Turkish Super League
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Ligue 1
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World Cup
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UEFA Champions League
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GOALENCE EDITOR
⚖️
The Anatomy of a Draw: The 0-0 Paradox and What the Data Reveals
We analyzed 1,754 matches across Europe's top 5 leagues. 0-0s aren't "low-shot" games — they're "low-quality-shot" games. And what decides a draw isn't possession, it's xG parity.
3 min · Read
🧤
Vózinha: The 40-Year-Old Who Stopped Spain and Became a Folk Hero
On his World Cup debut, a journeyman goalkeeper held a tournament favorite scoreless — and woke up famous.
4 min · Read
🇹🇷
Türkiye at the 2026 World Cup: The Road After a Tough Opener
A 2-0 loss to Australia leaves Türkiye needing results — but the group is still open
4 min · Read
Goalence pulls data from 30+ competitions, runs it through a Pi-Ratings + Poisson model, and logs every prediction before kickoff. Past accuracy: 54% correct on 2415 resolved matches.
© 2026 Goalence. Predictions are produced by statistical models and not guaranteed.
54% · n=2415