Nov 12, 05:00 PM · League A - 5 · Model tag: Normal
Belgium enter this UEFA Nations League fixture with a measured advantage over Türkiye (52% confidence, Normal tier) and a projected 1-2 result. In this UEFA Nations League context, small swings in form or selection can flip the projection — treat the moderate-confidence pick as a starting point rather than a lock.
Nov 12, 05:00 PM · League C - 5 · Model tag: Normal
Armenia hold a slim edge over Cyprus in this UEFA Nations League match — 42% confidence puts it in the Normal tier with a 2-1 projection. In this UEFA Nations League context, small swings in form or selection can flip the projection — treat the narrow-confidence pick as a starting point rather than a lock.
Nov 12, 07:45 PM · League A - 5 · Model tag: SOLID
Goalence's Pi-Ratings model gives England a clear edge against Croatia in UEFA Nations League — 67% confidence (SOLID tier) with an expected scoreline of 2-1. Both teams are projected to score (71% BTTS yes), suggesting an open contest where neither defense fully shuts down the opponent.
Nov 12, 07:45 PM · League A - 5 · Model tag: Normal
France enter this UEFA Nations League fixture with a measured advantage over Italy (51% confidence, Normal tier) and a projected 0-1 result. In this UEFA Nations League context, small swings in form or selection can flip the projection — treat the moderate-confidence pick as a starting point rather than a lock.
Nov 12, 07:45 PM · League A - 5 · Model tag: ELITE
Goalence's Pi-Ratings model gives Spain a clear edge against Czechia in UEFA Nations League — 74% confidence (ELITE tier) with an expected scoreline of 0-1. The model favors a one-sided sheet — BTTS no at 56% — pointing toward at least one team being kept off the board.
Nov 12, 07:45 PM · League C - 5 · Model tag: Normal
Albania enter this UEFA Nations League fixture with a measured advantage over Finland (48% confidence, Normal tier) and a projected 1-0 result. In this UEFA Nations League context, small swings in form or selection can flip the projection — treat the moderate-confidence pick as a starting point rather than a lock.
Nov 12, 07:45 PM · League C - 5 · Model tag: SOLID
Goalence's Pi-Ratings model gives Montenegro a clear edge against Latvia in UEFA Nations League — 62% confidence (SOLID tier) with an expected scoreline of 1-0. Both teams are projected to score (51% BTTS yes), suggesting an open contest where neither defense fully shuts down the opponent.
Nov 12, 07:45 PM · League C - 5 · Model tag: ELITE
Goalence's Pi-Ratings model gives Belarus a clear edge against San Marino in UEFA Nations League — 80% confidence (ELITE tier) with an expected scoreline of 0-2. The model favors a one-sided sheet — BTTS no at 60% — pointing toward at least one team being kept off the board.