Sep 13, 05:00 PM · Regular Season - 6 · Model tag: ELITE
Home
81.7%
Draw
12.4%
Away
5.9%
Over 2.5
64.9%
BTTS: Yes
54.2%
Goalence's Pi-Ratings model gives Benfica a clear edge against GIL Vicente in Portuguese Primeira Liga — 82% confidence (ELITE tier) with an expected scoreline of 2-0. Both teams are projected to score (54% BTTS yes), suggesting an open contest where neither defense fully shuts down the opponent.
Sep 13, 05:00 PM · Regular Season - 6 · Model tag: Normal
Home
35.0%
Draw
30.3%
Away
34.7%
Under 2.5
59.7%
BTTS: Yes
53.6%
Arouca hold a slim edge over Santa Clara in this Portuguese Primeira Liga match — 35% confidence puts it in the Normal tier with a 1-0 projection. In this Portuguese Primeira Liga context, small swings in form or selection can flip the projection — treat the narrow-confidence pick as a starting point rather than a lock.
Sep 13, 07:30 PM · Regular Season - 6 · Model tag: SOLID
Home
16.0%
Draw
23.7%
Away
60.4%
Under 2.5
54.2%
BTTS: Yes
52.2%
Goalence's Pi-Ratings model gives Sporting CP a clear edge against Famalicao in Portuguese Primeira Liga — 60% confidence (SOLID tier) with an expected scoreline of 0-1. Both teams are projected to score (52% BTTS yes), suggesting an open contest where neither defense fully shuts down the opponent.