Goalence

📊 Prediction Accuracy

Predictions are logged before kickoff and hit/miss is automatically calculated after the match ends. Not a retrospective backtest — real forward-tracked performance across leagues, national teams, and continental cups.

May 24, 2026

610

predictions

1,327

matches

01

Overall Performance

Confident picks · Solid + Elite · confidence ≥ 55%, labelled before kickoff

Match Result65.9%313 of the 475 confident-labelled matches correctAll 1,327 matches (incl. those labelled uncertain): 699 correct · 52.7%
Over/Under 2.562.2%490 of the 788 confident-labelled matches correctAll 1,327 matches (incl. those labelled uncertain): 785 correct · 59.2%
Both Teams Score60.3%429 of the 711 confident-labelled matches correctAll 1,327 matches (incl. those labelled uncertain): 766 correct · 57.7%
02

🎯 By Confidence Tier

🔥EliteConfidence ≥ 70%

76.5%

n=149

71.9%

n=64

76.0%

n=25

SolidConfidence 55–70%

61.0%

n=326

61.3%

n=724

59.8%

n=686

⚖️NormalConfidence < 55%

45.3%

n=852

54.7%

n=539

54.7%

n=616

03

🏆 By Tournament

UEFA Competitions(3)

Tournament
Overall
Elite
N
UEFA Champions League
58.6%
91.7%
99
UEFA Conference League
56.6%
75.0%
205
UEFA Europa League
54.4%
100.0%
68

Leagues(15)

Tournament
Overall
Elite
N
Austrian Bundesliga
63.6%
66.7%
33
Premier League
37.8%
50.0%
37
Ligue 1
40.0%
0.0%
30
Bundesliga
48.0%
75.0%
25
Greek Super League
68.8%
50.0%
16
Serie A
67.7%
100.0%
34
Dutch Eredivisie
57.1%
70.0%
49
Portuguese Primeira Liga
58.5%
92.3%
41
Russian Premier League
54.1%
50.0%
61
Scottish Premiership
51.5%
100.0%
33
La Liga
50.0%
100.0%
34
Swiss Super League
52.4%
100.0%
42
Turkish Super League
43.9%
50.0%
41
Turkish 1st League
41.3%
46
Ukrainian Premier League
54.3%
100.0%
35
04

📋 Recent Results

Atalanta vs Cagliari12

Match ResultHome · 55%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams ScoreBTTS: Yes

Auxerre vs Nice10

Match ResultHome · 36%
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5
Both Teams ScoreBTTS: Yes

Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano41

Match ResultHome · 80%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams ScoreBTTS: Yes

Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen30

Match ResultAway · 64%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams ScoreBTTS: Yes

Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax15

Match ResultAway · 65%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams ScoreBTTS: Yes

Lorient vs Toulouse22

Match ResultHome · 41%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams ScoreBTTS: Yes

Le Havre vs Angers00

Match ResultHome · 38%
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5
Both Teams ScoreBTTS: Yes

Sunderland vs Arsenal02

Match ResultAway · 60%
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5
Both Teams ScoreBTTS: No

CSKA Moscow vs Rubin11

Match ResultHome · 54%
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5
Both Teams ScoreBTTS: Yes

Paris FC vs Lyon00

Match ResultAway · 38%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams ScoreBTTS: Yes

Dynamo vs FC Orenburg10

Match ResultHome · 67%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams ScoreBTTS: Yes

Konyaspor vs Trabzonspor10

Match ResultAway · 43%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams ScoreBTTS: Yes

Casa Pia vs FC Porto14

Match ResultAway · 76%
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5
Both Teams ScoreBTTS: No

Alanyaspor vs Göztepe22

Match ResultHome · 42%
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5
Both Teams ScoreBTTS: Yes

Olympiakos Piraeus vs OFI01

Match ResultHome · 76%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams ScoreBTTS: Yes

FC Lugano vs BSC Young Boys22

Match ResultHome · 45%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams ScoreBTTS: Yes

Wolfsberger AC vs Rapid Vienna03

Match ResultAway · 58%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams ScoreBTTS: Yes

Ümraniyespor vs Antalyaspor12

Match ResultHome · 39%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams ScoreBTTS: Yes

1. FC Köln vs Werder Bremen11

Match ResultHome · 46%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams ScoreBTTS: Yes

GO Ahead Eagles vs Groningen11

Match ResultHome · 41%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams ScoreBTTS: Yes
05

📐 Methodology

Forward-tracking: Each prediction is logged before the match is played. After the match ends (status FT), hit/miss is automatically verified. No retrospective "we would have predicted" trickery.

Scope: All tracked competitions: 15 club leagues, the UEFA club cups (Champions League, Europa League, Conference League), World Cup + qualifiers, EURO, Copa América, AFCON, Asian Cup and the UEFA Nations League. International friendlies are excluded from these statistics. England's Championship, League One, League Two and National League were tracked from 24 May to 8 Sep 2026 — their logged predictions remain in these figures; no new ones are added.

Confidence tiers: Elite ≥70%, Solid ≥55%, Normal below. The headline counts only picks the model itself labelled Solid or Elite before kickoff (the tier is stamped into the log at prediction time); the all-picks figure — including the ones it labelled uncertain — sits right beneath it and is never hidden.